RightDataUSA

Demographics and Elections Commentary

6/20/2022: The seven Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 [The Hill]

According to the leftists at The Hill, the 7 are Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and North Carolina. The way things look now, Democrats will flip PA (and perhaps more) and Republicans will flip nothing.

In Wisconsin and North Carolina -- and Ohio, which didn't make the list -- Republicans are only slightly favored at this time to hold those seats. In NC and OH, the hypocritical liberal wing of the party is doing exactly the opposite of what they petulantly insist that conservatives in PA do, and that is to vote for a candidate they don't like; instead of party unity such as RINOs demand in PA, the squishes are running away from Vance and Budd and towards the Democrats, making flips of those seats a distinct possibility. Will the RINOs come to their senses before November?

Nevada and Arizona may be close, which only means "close but no cigar" for the GOP (same with Georgia, assuming it doesn't turn into a blowout), and New Hampshire flipping to the Republicans is a pipe dream.



6/19/2022: Texas 'Triple Threat' Leads Hispanic Voters' Seismic Shift Toward GOP [Breitbart]


Photo credit: Garcia, Flores, De La Cruz for Congress

On the heels of last week's historic win by Republican Mayra Flores in the CD-34 special election, along with the solid swing to the right by Hispanics in south Texas which occurred in the 2020 election, optimism is rampant that Republicans will pick up two more House seats in this area in November in addition to holding Flores' district.

Of the 3 Hipsanic female Republican candidates mentioned in the story, Flores has the toughest road to stay in Congress as her district moves from D+5 to D+9 thanks to redistricting. She will be facing ultra-liberal Democrat Vicente Gonzalez in a matchup of incumbents. The district which Gonzalez ran away from (CD-15) is the best chance for a GOP pickup. It is rated as even and is an open seat since Gonzalez bugged out; the Democrat candidate is a "progressive activist", i.e. a professional nutjob.

The other district (CD-28) has liberal incumbent Henry Cuellar who once masqueraded as a moderate and still has some voters fooled, but even now he's still more "moderate" than the moonbat he defeated in the Democrat primary. This seat could still flip, but based on the outcome of the primary it's more likely to be a Democrat hold. This Republican "triple threat" will likely bat only .333 in November, but in any event these are no longer districts which Democrats can take for granted, and the Republican batting average here had been .000 forever.



6/18/2022: [Utah] Poll: Mike Lee Smashes Never-Trumper Evan McMullin by Double Digits [Breitbart]


Photo credit: Leah Millis-Pool/Getty Images; inset-Rick Bowmer/AP

It's a poll taken by Lee's campaign, but shouldn't be too far off the mark. Egg McMuffin is nothing but a joke, just like he was in 2016 when panicked liberal Mormons, with Mitt Romney as their head puppetmaster, installed him on the presidential ballot in many states as a "conservative" (LOL) option designed to peel off enough Trump voters to ensure that Hillary would win.

Lee won by 40 points last time; he should win this time by at least 20 even though a right-wing independent candidate could siphon off more votes than usual despite Lee's lifetime ACU rating of 99%, because Lee is one of the prime movers behind the Chamber of Commerce Cheap Labor (H1B visa) Express which irritates patriotic voters as it damn well should.



6/17/2022: Poll: Sheriff Joe Lombardo Ahead of Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak After Primary Win [Breitbart]


Photo credit: Jeff Scheid/The Nevada Independent

According to conservatives in Nevada, this is another case of a better candidate (Joey Gilbert) losing to a high-profile squish who was backed by big bucks -- not to mention millions in "dark money" [warning: biased source] -- in the Republican primary. The liberal wing of the party demands that we hold our noses and "do the right thing" in November.

That's a particularly cautionary note here in "New Jersey West", one of the most corrupt states in the union. In Nevada, Democrats magically win nearly every single close election and RINOs often tend to be every bit as bought-and-paid-for as their Democrat counterparts.



6/16/2022: Abbott leading O'Rourke in tightening Texas race: poll [The Hill]


Photo credit: Getty Images

Anyone who thinks Abbott is going to win by 13 points again will likely be proven to be delusional by the time November rolls around. A five to 10 point margin is more likely but is by no means guaranteed. Cornyn didn't win by 10 points in Texas in 2020 even though he was running against a nobody, albeit a very well-funded nobody.

Of course the Beto campaign is nothing but a clown show, but the days such as 1994, 2010 and 2014 when Republicans could count on low turnout + an unpopular Democrat stooge (Clinton in '94, Obama in '10 and '14) in the White House to carry them to smashing midterm victories are gone. The biggest stooge of all is President now, however the new model for midterm turnout is 2018, and in 2022 you can add in massively increased mail-in voting, drop boxes, mules, etc. which were not nearly so prevalent even as recently as the 2018 Democrat wave.



6/15/2022: Latino Democrats vent their fury after foreboding special election loss in Texas [Politico]


Photo credit: Montinique Monroe/Getty Images

Here's the laughable spin from the Democrats after getting their asses kicked in historic fashion: "'I think we made the judgment that it was pretty much a Republican seat,' House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said in a brief interview when asked about the party's decision not to prioritize the race."

According to Charlie Cook's Partisan Voting Index, this district was D+5, which means Democrats perform 5% better than the national average here in this allegedly "Republican seat". If the Democrats blow off every district where they are favored by less than 5 points, they will be slaughtered in November. The Rats aren't conceding those districts -- and they didn't concede this one either no matter how much their candidate whines now. They got their asses kicked, and they know it.



6/15/2022: Pennsylvania Governor Race: Shapiro holds slim lead over Mastriano in new poll [ABC27.com]


Photo credit: Mary Altaffer/AP Photo

The biggest surprise from this poll is that Joshie Shapiwo's lead is merely "slim". Meanwhile Oz is down big against Uncle Festerman and Oz's massive unpopularity could drag Mastriano down with him. Yes, this poll is from a biased source (Suffolk/USA Today) but its conclusion is very much within the realm of probability.

These two races nicely illustrate the hypocricy of the GOP establishment country-club elitists: when their chosen candidate (Oz) wins a primary, it's "We demand full party unity! You proles MUST vote for OUR guy in November!"; however when a conservative (Mastriano) wins a primary, then it's "You idiots made the WRONG choice! We'll never support YOUR guy!" For examples of the latter, look here [warning: biased source], and here [warning: another biased source].



6/15/2022: Trump-endorsed candidates would generally win even without his support -- and that's usually the case with all political endorsements [Yahoo]


Photo credit: AP Photo/Joe Maiorana

A left-wing poindexter gets something right. You too can astound and amaze your friends with your predictive ability by simply picking the incumbent to win every time. In Republican primaries for House, Senate and Governor from 2012 through 2022, 949 Republican incumbents ran for re-election and only 19 lost -- and 5 of those 19 lost to other incumbents. Even counting all 19 who lost, that's still a 98% winning percentage.

Open seats are (were) the best chance for Trump to play king-maker, but choices such as Katie Britt in Alabama and The Blunderful Wizard of Oz in Pennsylvania were uninspired to say the least. That misguided choice in PA is going to turn out to be particularly damaging to Republican chances of taking back the Senate.



6/15/2022: [South Carolina] GOP Rep Who Voted To Impeach Trump Ousted By Massive Margin [Daily Caller]


Photo credit: Sean Rayford/Getty Images

Poor Tom Rice. Hopefully all of the auditions he's been doing lately by sucking up to the liberal media are going well, because come January he's going to need that job as token "conservative" on some panel of Democrat shills on one of those "balanced" news programs.

Sadly, the big-money campaign by establishment Republican Nancy Mace in the other hotly-contested South Carolina district was successful. Conservative challenger Katie Arrington had to deal with a major disadvantage in funding (Mace had over $4 million to work with; Arrington had $0.9 million) that she faced against the incumbent. The fact that Arrington didn't win the primary saves the RINO establishment from repeatedly backstabbing her in advance of the general election, as they did in 2018 when they helped her liberal Democrat opponent to defeat her.



6/15/2022: Mayra Flores wins special election to turn Texas House seat Republican [The Guardian]


Photo credit: Veronica Cardenas/Reuters

An historic accomplishment, without even requiring a runoff in a 4-way race, as Mayra Flores becomes the first Republican to represent this part of Texas in.... ever. Given the euphoria in the liberal media whenever a Democrat merely loses a special election in some Republican district by less than they usually do, isn't it odd that this story lacks widespread attention today? Particularly since it validates the sharp rightward move by some Hispanic voters which the media has been suppressing since 2020. Just because they avoid reporting it doesn't mean it didn't happen.



6/14/2022: Warnock, Walker tied in Georgia Senate race; Kemp leads Abrams for governor: poll [The Hill]


Photo credit: Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images ; Megan Varner/Getty Images

Herschel Walker is enduring the biggest ad campaign of lies and hate during this election cycle of any candidate not named "Doug Mastriano". It's very likely to succeed, at which point the liberal Republican establishment (which isn't much enamored with Walker anyway) will simply shrug, claim Walker was a "bad candidate" -- which he is; we miss you, Doug Collins -- and smile as they congratulate the ultra-liberal Democrat on winning another Senate term.

As we've mentioned before, Georgia and Pennsylvania are likely to be the two most massive disappointments for Republicans, at least in statewide races (Rats are poised to take the PA State House too thanks to gerrymandering), once Democrats are done counting the votes in November or December.



6/14/2022: These extreme and out-of-touch Democrats are meddling in Colorado's election [Colorado Peak Politics]

A good read on the variety of dirty tricks Democrats are currently using everywhere, not just in Colorado, to sabotage Republican primaries.



6/13/2022: Group testing ads to see if Democrats can go on offense on the economy -- Group takes aim at Bacon, Hinson, Malliotakis and Valadao [Roll Call]


Photo credit: "Unrig Our Economy"

If Republicans ran ads like this the media would either refuse to run them or their "fact checkers" would label everything as lies and therefore the ads would be considered as "debunked". The media would come to the rescue before any poor, innocent Democrats could be damaged.

Since our elite tribe of media controllers work one way only, these particular Democrat propaganda attempts will never be challenged, rather they will be praised and endorsed as being highly effective and any Republican candidates who object to being targeted will be put on the defensive. Shortly, another wing of the controlled media will publish some polls (fabricated if necessary) showing how effective the Democrat ads are, and more will follow.

Meanwhile, with so many great issues to hit Democrats with via devastating ads that almost write themselves, the RNC will instead respond with the same cowardice and bumbling incompetence we've grown accustomed to.



6/12/2022: Sarah Palin advances in special primary for Alaska's House seat [NBC News]


Photo credit: Will Peebles / USA Today Network

Palin received the most votes by far, which was not a surprise. Al Gross, the big-spending liberal Democrat who disguised himself as an "independent", got only 12% of the vote and that was somewhat surprising. When you can't even fool the low-info voters anymore, that's a bad sign for any Democrat no matter how they identify themselves. Even though the two Republicans, Palin and Begich, combined to take nearly 50% of the overall vote (and 71% of the vote among the 4 candidates who advanced), Rigged Choice Voting gives the Democrats one more chance to steal this in August when liberals unite behind Gross.



6/10/2022: Trump endorses Britt in Alabama Senate runoff months after dumping Brooks [Washington Examiner]


Photo credit: Katie Britt

Another mistake from the master of 4D chess. Britt, as mentioned before, is nothing more than Richard Shelby in drag and, when elected, will be just another Mitch Bitch. Brooks is anathema to Trump because Brooks doesn't drool constantly over the Democrats' 2020 election fraud. Yes that is an important issue, but you know what? As Senator, there are going to be votes on all sorts of issues other than that particular one, and Brooks would be a solid conservative on all issues just as he has been in the past.

Britt will vote the way Mitch tells her to and will be as popular among patriotic Americans as Mitt Romney or Mitch McConnell a few months into her term.



First page       Previous page             Next page       Last page

This is page 8 of 10