RightDataUSA

Demographics and Elections Commentary

6/24/2022: [Colorado] Democratic voters have a plan to defeat Lauren Boebert before the general election -- here's how [MSN]

Unorganized "Democrat voters" thought of this all by themselves, eh? How clever of them. The fact that the media controllers are constantly reporting this makes it blatantly obvious that they are encouraging it. If the time ever comes when the GOP endorses a "moderate" Democrat challenger to some left wing nutbucket like AOC, I doubt that we'll be able to count on the media controllers similarly endorsing THAT.

We'll find out on Tuesday just how effective this particular Democrat (and media-endorsed) dirty trick was. The chance that it will succeed is not insignificant, but if it fails, how long will it take for Boebert's RINO opponent, Don Coram, to announce his support for the Democrat in the general election? It would only be logical for Coram to support the party that tried to help him so much in the primary; the least he could do is return the favor.

If you think Boebert can't possibly lose, keep in mind that this isn't Wyoming, nor is it like MTG's heavily-Republican district in Georgia either. Boebert's a prime target and her district is a somewhat marginal one with lots of Democrats and RINOs who hate Boebert every bit as much or more than conservatives hate Liz Cheney. Unlike Wyoming, conservatives do not outnumber the sum of Democrats + RINOs here, and Democrats have made this primary a holy crusade. Boebert got only 51% in November of 2020.



6/24/2022: [Mississippi] America First Candidate Michael Cassidy's Republican Opponent Appeals to Democrats to Save Him [Breitbart]


Photo credit: Michael Cassidy for Congress

The incumbent squish, Michael Guest, cravenly voted to allow the creation of the "January 6th Committee" kangaroo court. Otherwise he's just been a backbencher who has had no significant impact on anything. His cowardice should not go unpunished, but it will if just a few crossover Democrats help him out in Tuesday's Republican runoff because the top two candidates were separated by less than one percentage point in the primary.

The Mississippi GOP establishment is well-known for its hatred of conservatives (remember Thad Cochran's dirty campaign vs. Chris McDaniel from a few years back?) and even now the state party chairman is actively encouraging Democrats to invade the Republican runoff election and save the more liberal candidate. The Democrat nominee in this district doesn't stand a chance in November, so Tuesday will effectively determine who occupies this House seat in 2023-24.



6/23/2022: Poll: North Carolina Rep. Ted Budd Holds 5 Point Lead over Dem Opponent in Senate Race [Breitbart]


Photo credit: AP Photo/Chris Seward

Keep your eye on this one. Republicans barely won the 2020 Senate race here even after the Democrat candidate was engulfed in scandal (which the liberal media downplayed, of course). This time around the candidate is an ultra-liberal black female who is extremely well-funded; having failed in 2020 to purchase a Senate seat in South Carolina for some other empty (black) suit despite record-setting spending, the Democrats are trying again and have a significant probablity of success. Budd, running way behind in the cash department, needs to run a solid campaign and avoid being intimidated by the media into pulling any punches against his Marxist opponent.



6/23/2022: [Wyoming] Liz Cheney is mailing instructions to Democrats on how to change parties and vote for her in Wyoming's GOP primary [Business Insider]


Photo credit: Win McNamee/Getty Images

Same song, different verse: "Cheney's campaign has mailed instructions to Wyoming Democrats on how to change their party affiliation to vote for the incumbent congresswoman." Only morons still think that closed primaries -- like they have in Wyoming -- mean that only true members of a party can vote. Whether open or closed, it is an extremely simple matter for Democrats to cross over and sabotage Republican primaries.

Just like other supposedly legal (except where it's not) Democrat dirty tricks such as "ballot harvesting", it's hardly sufficient to note that "Republicans could do the same thing Democrats are doing", because... they don't. Furthermore, the RINO establishment is perfectly content to allow Democrats to assist in the selection of Republican nominees, as long as the Democrats are selecting the more liberal candidate. We'll see clear evidence of that next week in Illinois (conservative Mary Miller vs. RINO Rodney Davis) and Colorado (conservative Lauren Boebert vs. RINO Don Coram).



6/22/2022: [Virginia] Vega's GOP win a 'historic moment for Hispanics;' How she did it [Potomac Local]

In Virginia's CD-7, another Hispanic female Republican candidate, Yesli Vega, won a primary and stands a decent chance of taking out the incumbent liberal Democrat in November. Incumbent liberal Abigail "Deep State" Spanberger is a former CIA operative who only prevailed in 2020 due to the fortuitous late-night "discovery" of thousands of suspicious votes on a previously unnoticed flash drive.

Through 2020, the bad parts of the 7th District were areas in the formerly-nice Richmond suburbs, Chesterfield and Henrico Counties (whatever good parts of Chesterfield still exist were mainly outside this district). Giddy Republicans observe that those areas have been removed in redistricting, and therefore they falsely conclude that this makes the entire 7th District more amenble to the GOP. In fact, Chesterfield and Henrico have been replaced by an even worse portion of rapidly deteriorating Prince William County. In 2020 the district was R+3 and now it is D+1 -- still very winnable for Republicans but a slightly more difficult task now than it was two years ago, even if the votes are counted honestly.



6/21/2022: [Alaska] Analysis: Gross drops, and Murkowski to consolidate power as allies maneuver to put Sweeney on ballot [Must Read Alaska]

Phony "independent" but actual liberal Democrat Al Gross fared so badly in the June 11 special primary election to replace the late Don Young in Congress, that -- even though he advanced to the general election -- he has decided to drop out of the race with the expectation that he will be replaced on the ballot with fifth-place finisher "Republican" Tara Sweeney in an effort to further fracture the Republican side of the ballot. The conservative vote is already split between Palin and Begich.

Sweeney is a RINO whose puppet strings are visibly attached to RINO Senator Lisa Murkowski and other Democrats. From the article: "The parallels to the circumstances that kept Murkowski in office [in 2010] and conspiring to install Sweeney are eerie." Thanks to Rigged Choice Voting, the Democrat/RINO plan here is that either the Democrat or the RINO will win because the two conservatives will split the vote and -- very importantly -- those who vote for either Palin or Begich as their first choice will likely not vote for the other conservative candidate as their #2 choice, which will allow one of the two liberal candidates to prevail.

This was the plan all along, but Gross blew it by failing to get anyone but the lowest-info voters to select him. So now Plan B is to pull a "Torricelli": where liberals remove the failed candidate from the ballot and try to illegally replace him with someone who is likely to perform better.



6/20/2022: A Republican Elected Governor in New York? A Few Signs Say It Could Happen [Townhall]


Photo credit: Zeldin For New York

And every important sign says it won't. Although the article makes clear why the state of New York is in such deplorable shape and why the good people are continuing to leave in droves, the idea that a Republican could take over in Albany in 2023 is just so much baseless "hopium". The current radical leftist Governor will win by at least 15-20 points in November, and if that number is closer to 15 than 20 (or more) it will be an upset.

The only reason that ultra-liberal Republicans such as Charlie Baker, Larry Hogan and Phil Scott occasionally get elected Governor in ultra-liberal states such as Massachusetts, Maryland and Vermont is because Democrats sometimes prefer having a Republican scapegoat appear to be in charge. Veto-proof liberal majorities in the state House and Senate render the RINO Gov completely impotent legislatively, and the RINO (being ultra-liberal) rarely opposes whatever the Democrats do anyway. Then when things go off the rails thanks to the legislature's policies, the media and other Democrats have a handy target on which to deflect the blame instead of placing that blame where it rightfully belongs.



6/20/2022: The seven Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 [The Hill]

According to the leftists at The Hill, the 7 are Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and North Carolina. The way things look now, Democrats will flip PA (and perhaps more) and Republicans will flip nothing.

In Wisconsin and North Carolina -- and Ohio, which didn't make the list -- Republicans are only slightly favored at this time to hold those seats. In NC and OH, the hypocritical liberal wing of the party is doing exactly the opposite of what they petulantly insist that conservatives in PA do, and that is to vote for a candidate they don't like; instead of party unity such as RINOs demand in PA, the squishes are running away from Vance and Budd and towards the Democrats, making flips of those seats a distinct possibility. Will the RINOs come to their senses before November?

Nevada and Arizona may be close, which only means "close but no cigar" for the GOP (same with Georgia, assuming it doesn't turn into a blowout), and New Hampshire flipping to the Republicans is a pipe dream.



6/19/2022: Texas 'Triple Threat' Leads Hispanic Voters' Seismic Shift Toward GOP [Breitbart]


Photo credit: Garcia, Flores, De La Cruz for Congress

On the heels of last week's historic win by Republican Mayra Flores in the CD-34 special election, along with the solid swing to the right by Hispanics in south Texas which occurred in the 2020 election, optimism is rampant that Republicans will pick up two more House seats in this area in November in addition to holding Flores' district.

Of the 3 Hipsanic female Republican candidates mentioned in the story, Flores has the toughest road to stay in Congress as her district moves from D+5 to D+9 thanks to redistricting. She will be facing ultra-liberal Democrat Vicente Gonzalez in a matchup of incumbents. The district which Gonzalez ran away from (CD-15) is the best chance for a GOP pickup. It is rated as even and is an open seat since Gonzalez bugged out; the Democrat candidate is a "progressive activist", i.e. a professional nutjob.

The other district (CD-28) has liberal incumbent Henry Cuellar who once masqueraded as a moderate and still has some voters fooled, but even now he's still more "moderate" than the moonbat he defeated in the Democrat primary. This seat could still flip, but based on the outcome of the primary it's more likely to be a Democrat hold. This Republican "triple threat" will likely bat only .333 in November, but in any event these are no longer districts which Democrats can take for granted, and the Republican batting average here had been .000 forever.



6/18/2022: [Utah] Poll: Mike Lee Smashes Never-Trumper Evan McMullin by Double Digits [Breitbart]


Photo credit: Leah Millis-Pool/Getty Images; inset-Rick Bowmer/AP

It's a poll taken by Lee's campaign, but shouldn't be too far off the mark. Egg McMuffin is nothing but a joke, just like he was in 2016 when panicked liberal Mormons, with Mitt Romney as their head puppetmaster, installed him on the presidential ballot in many states as a "conservative" (LOL) option designed to peel off enough Trump voters to ensure that Hillary would win.

Lee won by 40 points last time; he should win this time by at least 20 even though a right-wing independent candidate could siphon off more votes than usual despite Lee's lifetime ACU rating of 99%, because Lee is one of the prime movers behind the Chamber of Commerce Cheap Labor (H1B visa) Express which irritates patriotic voters as it damn well should.



6/17/2022: Poll: Sheriff Joe Lombardo Ahead of Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak After Primary Win [Breitbart]


Photo credit: Jeff Scheid/The Nevada Independent

According to conservatives in Nevada, this is another case of a better candidate (Joey Gilbert) losing to a high-profile squish who was backed by big bucks -- not to mention millions in "dark money" [warning: biased source] -- in the Republican primary. The liberal wing of the party demands that we hold our noses and "do the right thing" in November.

That's a particularly cautionary note here in "New Jersey West", one of the most corrupt states in the union. In Nevada, Democrats magically win nearly every single close election and RINOs often tend to be every bit as bought-and-paid-for as their Democrat counterparts.



6/16/2022: Abbott leading O'Rourke in tightening Texas race: poll [The Hill]


Photo credit: Getty Images

Anyone who thinks Abbott is going to win by 13 points again will likely be proven to be delusional by the time November rolls around. A five to 10 point margin is more likely but is by no means guaranteed. Cornyn didn't win by 10 points in Texas in 2020 even though he was running against a nobody, albeit a very well-funded nobody.

Of course the Beto campaign is nothing but a clown show, but the days such as 1994, 2010 and 2014 when Republicans could count on low turnout + an unpopular Democrat stooge (Clinton in '94, Obama in '10 and '14) in the White House to carry them to smashing midterm victories are gone. The biggest stooge of all is President now, however the new model for midterm turnout is 2018, and in 2022 you can add in massively increased mail-in voting, drop boxes, mules, etc. which were not nearly so prevalent even as recently as the 2018 Democrat wave.



6/15/2022: Latino Democrats vent their fury after foreboding special election loss in Texas [Politico]


Photo credit: Montinique Monroe/Getty Images

Here's the laughable spin from the Democrats after getting their asses kicked in historic fashion: "'I think we made the judgment that it was pretty much a Republican seat,' House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said in a brief interview when asked about the party's decision not to prioritize the race."

According to Charlie Cook's Partisan Voting Index, this district was D+5, which means Democrats perform 5% better than the national average here in this allegedly "Republican seat". If the Democrats blow off every district where they are favored by less than 5 points, they will be slaughtered in November. The Rats aren't conceding those districts -- and they didn't concede this one either no matter how much their candidate whines now. They got their asses kicked, and they know it.



6/15/2022: Pennsylvania Governor Race: Shapiro holds slim lead over Mastriano in new poll [ABC27.com]


Photo credit: Mary Altaffer/AP Photo

The biggest surprise from this poll is that Joshie Shapiwo's lead is merely "slim". Meanwhile Oz is down big against Uncle Festerman and Oz's massive unpopularity could drag Mastriano down with him. Yes, this poll is from a biased source (Suffolk/USA Today) but its conclusion is very much within the realm of probability.

These two races nicely illustrate the hypocricy of the GOP establishment country-club elitists: when their chosen candidate (Oz) wins a primary, it's "We demand full party unity! You proles MUST vote for OUR guy in November!"; however when a conservative (Mastriano) wins a primary, then it's "You idiots made the WRONG choice! We'll never support YOUR guy!" For examples of the latter, look here [warning: biased source], and here [warning: another biased source].



6/15/2022: Trump-endorsed candidates would generally win even without his support -- and that's usually the case with all political endorsements [Yahoo]


Photo credit: AP Photo/Joe Maiorana

A left-wing poindexter gets something right. You too can astound and amaze your friends with your predictive ability by simply picking the incumbent to win every time. In Republican primaries for House, Senate and Governor from 2012 through 2022, 949 Republican incumbents ran for re-election and only 19 lost -- and 5 of those 19 lost to other incumbents. Even counting all 19 who lost, that's still a 98% winning percentage.

Open seats are (were) the best chance for Trump to play king-maker, but choices such as Katie Britt in Alabama and The Blunderful Wizard of Oz in Pennsylvania were uninspired to say the least. That misguided choice in PA is going to turn out to be particularly damaging to Republican chances of taking back the Senate.



First page       Previous page             Next page       Last page

This is page 7 of 10